Will American Satta Bazar’s Bet On Trump Pay Off? US Election Results Defy Exit Polls, Harris Trails

As exit polls predicted a tight race between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris, American political betting platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi saw Trump’s odds rise sharply, with his chances of winning climbing from around 61% to 71%. PredictIt shares surged from 54 cents to 65 cents. Despite early exit polls favouring Harris, Trump leads with 213 electoral votes to Harris's 99, defying initial predictions of a close contest.

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At a time when exit polls had predicted a tight race between former US President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris, the "satta bazar" seems to have got their predictions right. The American political betting platforms favoured Republican nominee Donald Trump over Harris and as per the latest trends the former US President is ahead with 213 votes. Polymarket, a popular platform for political betting, showed Trump's implied odds of winning against Harris at around 61% shortly before polls closed, but that figure has since risen to 71%.

Similarly, on Kalshi, Trump’s chances of securing the presidency jumped from 57% before polls closed to 67%. Meanwhile, Trump shares on PredictIt are now trading at 65 cents, up from 54 cents earlier in the day. US Election 2024 LIVE Prediction markets have surged in popularity this election cycle, allowing users to place wagers on various election outcomes.



Here’s a look at where these markets stand as the polls near closing. At the time of filing of this story, Trump is ahead with 213 votes while Kamala Harris trails with 99. Notably, the exit polls had predicted a tight race between the two.

Exit polls showed that most of the voters favoured Harris, 59, over her Republican rival. According to an exit poll by NBC News, 48 per cent of voters nationwide expressed a favourable view of Harris, while 44 per cent supported Trump. Get Latest News Live on Times Now along with Breaking News and Top Headlines from Industry, Business Economy and around the world.

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