6 days Ago By Falyn Stempler
Donald Trump 's 2024 election win may not have been as significant as originally suspected, data analysts claim. Trump won both the popular and electoral vote in the 2024 election, sweeping all seven battleground states. Republicans also won control of Congress after winning the majority in both the House and Senate.
According to CNN's John Berman and Harry Enten, Trump is now "barely" under the 50% margin for the national popular vote, which ranks his win as the 44th of 51 since 1824. MSNBC viewers vow to boycott show after 'restarting communication with Trump Joe Rogan says celebrities messaged him about Donald Trump endorsement "That ain't exactly strong," Enten, a data expert, said. "Some might argue that it's 'weak, weak, weak' in the words of Tony Blair.
"In fact, his popular vote win at this point is the weakest going all the way back - you have to go all the way back to 2000 - to find a weaker one, a smaller popular vote victory than Donald Trump currently has." Trump's mandate? It's very shallow. Trump's now under 50% in the popular vote.
His margin ranks 44 of 51 since 1824. Weak coattails: 4 Dems won for Senate in states Trump won. (It was 0 in 2016 & 2020.
) The GOP is on track for smallest House majority since there were 50 states. pic.twitter.
com/FaE80nk4T6 — (((Harry Enten))) (@ForecasterEnten) November 18, 2024 He clarified that Trump did win the popular vote just not by a significant margin. Berman notes George W. Bush had a bigger popular vote in 2004, Barack Obama had a bigger popular and electoral vote twice and Joe Biden 's popular vote victory was twice as big, though his electoral win was a bit smaller.
He also noted that Democrats gained four Senate seats in states won by Trump in 2024 that had zero Democratic seats in both 2020 and 2016. Those states are Arizona, Nevada, Michigan and Wisconsin. He also notes Pennsylvania has not been called yet, which may bring the total up to five.
"In fact, I went all the way back through the history books and this is the most Senate races that the president's party lost that the president won since 2004," Enten said. "Again, you have to go all the way back since the early 2000s to find a historical note that matches what's going on right now." "So, yeah, Donald Trump won but there weren't exactly all that many Republicans or at least fewer than you'd expect historically who rode around in that victory car with him.
" DON'T MISS...
Fears JD Vance has been kicked out of Trump's inner circle as missing in pics Mortified RFK Jr caught with Big Mac in Trump McDonald's 'hazing' 10 nations Americans can flee to after Trump win via ancestry-based citizenship In the House, Enten said the Republican majority would be "historically small" if the current results hold. The GOP would be at 221 while the Democrats at 214. "You would have to go the way back before there were 50 states in the Union to find a smaller majority for the incoming House majority that Republicans currently hold at 221, which, of course, could drop lower.
" He notes that it is likely that Rep. Elise Stefanik (R-NY) will leave Congress after Trump nominated her as the United Nations ambassador, leaving a vacancy open for her seat that could change the final count. Anticipating backlash, Berman clarified that Trump still made considerable inroads in the 2024 election.
"It is worth noting that there are parts of Trump's victory which are a notable realignment," he said. "Historic in their own way. But the size of the victory just isn't.
" Enten responded: "Yes, we're talking about a very wide one for Donald Trump but the depth, it's not particularly deep, it's shallow, historically speaking.".
