Tropical update: Disturbance in the Caribbean has 80% chance of development over the next 7 days

HOUSTON — Hurricane season goes until Nov. 30 and we are tracking a new area of potential development in the Caribbean . Right now, the National Hurricane Center has an 80% chance of tropical development over the next seven days and a 40% chance over the next two days.

Right now, showers and thunderstorms in the Caribbean become better organized on Thursday and Friday showing signs of our next tropical depression or potentially Tropical Storm Sara. Above-average sea surface temperatures and low wind shear will make conditions favorable for development. If you are keeping track of the names at home you will see Sara is the next name on the list and then Tony.



Right now a strong cold front that will arrive in Texas on Monday will help to steer the moisture and energy to our south and east. However, it is too far out to know specifics but we will continue to update you. Kim Castro on social media: Facebook | X | Instagram Pat Cavlin on social media: Facebook | X | Instagram Chita Craft on social media: Facebook | X | Instagram David Paul on social media: Facebook | X | Instagram Chris Ramirez on social media : Facebook | X | Instagram.