TikTok, the short video platform responsible for innumerable viral phenomena, has a shaky future in America. With over 170 million users in the country, it's not only where people go to be entertained—it's where creators make careers, businesses expand audiences, and movements start. But with tensions between politics on the rise, the future of the app is now in the balance.
Here's what might come next. In April 2024, the United States enacted a new law named the Protecting Americans from Foreign Adversary Controlled Applications Act. It provides TikTok with two choices: sell its American operations to an American company or risk being banned.
The cutoff for accomplishing this is January 19, 2025. President Donald Trump , after his return to the presidency due to his recent 2024 election victory, placed an additional 75 days onto the original timeframe to advance the negotiations further. In addition to the bluster against China —including higher Chinese import tariffs—Trump has been hinting at the possibility that the sale still could happen and receive approval, contingent upon enhanced terms of trade.
One of the most prominently discussed bids is from Project Liberty , which is led by billionaire Frank McCourt. The consortium unveiled "The People's Bid for TikTok" and states it will give back greater control of user data to the people. It has the backing of high-profile names, such as the inventor of the World Wide Web, Sir Tim Berners-Lee.
Any deal, however, requires nods from both the U.S. and Chinese governments—something that won't be easy.
In the event of a sale falling through, TikTok may get banned altogether in the U.S. That would involve being removed from app stores and cut off from American networks.
The impact would be enormous. TikTok has emerged as an important platform for content creators , small businesses, and brands. Experts estimate that a ban would erase over $10 billion in annual revenue.
Creators who depend on it for their livelihood would need to begin anew elsewhere. Most would probably migrate to Instagram Reels, YouTube Shorts, or other platforms—but more people in fewer locations could lead to oversaturation. Smaller voices would be drowned out, and brands would need to re-evaluate where and how they allocate their marketing budgets.
There's also a middle way: TikTok continues to operate, but more stringently regulated. That might take the form of legislation on where user data is maintained, or new limitations for the sake of national security. This has already begun to occur elsewhere in the world.
In Europe, TikTok was compelled to abandon a feature known as TikTok Lite after it was flagged under the EU's new Digital Services Act . Regulators were concerned that it was too addictive, particularly for younger users. These types of changes may force TikTok to tailor the app to each region, resulting in varying experiences based on where users are.
TikTok's future in the United States remains uncertain, but time is ticking. Will it get sold, banned, or wedded to a new rulebook? The fate will determine the future of social media for creators, brands, and users alike. For the moment, TikTok remains up and running, but big things are ahead.
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