Scots seabird populations still falling but some species stabilising – figures

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Populations face pressures including climate change, fisheries, predation, invasive species and avian flu.

Scotland’s seabird populations are continuing to decline as threats including climate change and avian flu take their toll but some species are showing signs of recovery, statistics show. The figures, from natural environment agency NatureScot, chart breeding numbers for 11 of the 24 species of seabirds that breed in Scotland, over the period 1986-2023. They also document the “breeding success” – or the number of chicks produced – for 12 species over the same period.

The figures show that between 1986 and 2023, the 11 species assessed for breeding numbers were down 48% overall, with Arctic skua showing the worst decline at 83%. However, they also show that between 2010 and 2023 three species had “stabilised”, while black-legged kittiwake, European shag and common guillemot populations increased in the sites surveyed. The agency said the fall in Arctic skua numbers was likely due to a shortage of their food source, sandeels, as well as increased predation from great skuas.



Meanwhile, breeding success in 2023 was around the long-term average at 75% of the 1986 level, with NatureScot saying there was a “mixed picture” across the 12 species assessed. Four species: Arctic skua, black-legged kittiwake, European shag and little tern; had higher than average breeding success, while five species had lower than average breeding success: Atlantic puffin, common tern, guillemot, northern fulmar and northern gannet. The Arctic tern, great skua and razorbill had breeding success around the average.

Simon Foster, NatureScot trends analyst, said: “Scotland’s seabirds are of international importance, and they attract thousands of people to visit our coastlines each year, but they face many pressures and threats. “Food availability, climate change, fisheries, predation, and invasive species are all thought to be contributing to their current declines. “In recent years, avian flu has also had a considerable impact on several seabird species.

“Developments, such as offshore windfarms, may cause additional pressures on already declining seabird populations. “Crucially, although they rely on the sea, they breed on land and so are relatively easy to monitor, compared with other marine life.” He added that the figures showed the importance of continued long-term monitoring, to “help understand what is happening to our significant seabird populations so action can be taken whenever possible.

” The agency added that in response to the pressures facing seabird populations it had worked alongside the Scottish Government to put together the Scottish seabird conservation action plan, which recently completed a public consultation. The latest Scottish biodiversity indicator for seabirds was prepared by NatureScot using data from the UK seabird monitoring programme..