2 days Ago By Joe Tansey
Two of the most electric offenses in the NFL will go head-to-head on Sunday night. The Detroit Lions have scored at least 20 points in seven of their eight games and appear to be the class of the NFC at 7-1. The Houston Texans have hit the 20-point mark in six of nine games and are clear of their competitors in the AFC South at 6-3.
Plenty of points are expected inside NRG Stadium. The excitement around the game heightened once Houston signaled it would bring Nico Collins back off injured reserve for the Week 10 contest. Lions-Texans has the second-largest over/under on the Week 10 NFL betting board, so if the game lives up to its expectations, plenty of player props have the potential to cash.
Odds via DraftKings Sportsbook. Spread : Detroit (-3.5) Over/Under: 49.
5 Money Line: Detroit (-185; bet $185 to win $100); Houston (+154; bet $100 to win $154) Detroit owns the best record in the NFL against the spread at 7-1. The Lions have covered in each of their last six games, and all four of their over hits came in the last five weeks. They are 4-4 to the over this season.
Houston is only 3-6 ATS, but it has covered in the one game it was an underdog against the Green Bay Packers. The Texans have only cashed the over on two occasions this season. If the total stays at 49.
5, it will be the highest total set for any Texans game in 2024. Jared Goff Over/Under 231.5 Passing Yards Jared Goff threw for 230 combined yards in the last two weeks.
Goff cleared the 230-yard mark on four occasions in his first six games, but in the last two wins, he relied more on the ground attack to tear apart opposing defenses for large chunks of yards. The indoor conditions in Houston should suit Goff and the Detroit passing game, but if he clears the over on his passing-yard prop, it will mark the second time this season that the Texans allowed over 200 passing yards. The under on Goff's pass-yard prop is certainly in play because of that trend and due to Detroit's effectiveness on the ground as well.
David Montgomery Over/Under 57.5 Rushing Yards & Jahmyr Gibbs Over/Under 63.5 Receiving Yards David Montgomery and Jahmyr Gibbs could take advantage of a Houston defense that allowed 263 rushing yards in the last two weeks.
Gibbs has outgained Montgomery so far this season, but both players are averaging over four yards per carry. Montgomery has been far more effective in road games. He went over the 70-yard mark in three of the Lions' four contests away from home.
He had 40 yards or less in three of four home games. Gibbs has been more consistent with a rushing-yard total over 60 yards in seven straight weeks. Gibbs averaged at least five yards per carry in every game this season in which he had at least 60 rushing yards, which is a great sign for anyone betting the over on his rushing-yard prop on Sunday.
Joe Mixon Over/Under 75.5 Rushing Yards Joe Mixon has been even more consistent than Detroit's running back tandem. The former Cincinnati Bengals running back hit the 100-yard mark in five of his six appearances as a Houston player.
Mixon carried the ball either 24 or 25 times in each of the last three weeks. He averaged over four yards per attempt in all of those games. Detroit allowed at least 130 rushing yards in each of the last three weeks, so there is a clear path for Mixon to go over his rushing-yard prop once again in Week 10.
Tank Dell Over/Under 60.5 Receiving Yards Nico Collins' props are not listed yet, but his activation off the injured reserve means he will likely play on Sunday. Collins' potential presence affects how we view all of the Texans wide outs because he jump right back into the offense and record high totals in receptions and receiving yards.
Tank Dell will be the No. 2 option with Collins on the field, or the top target if Collins does not play. Dell is coming off a six-catch, 126-yard performance against the New York Jets in Week 9.
He's had at least four targets in every game this season, but the yards have not been as consistent. Dell only went over 60 receiving yards twice this season, so while his big-play threat is real, there is some boom-or-bust potential when it comes to betting his props. Gambling problem? Call (877-8-HOPENY) or text HOPENY (467369).
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