Weather experts have released a list of the 2025 hurricane risk by state as forecasters warn that this year’s season is set to be above average . Experts at Colorado State University's Tropical Cyclones, Radar, Atmospheric Modeling and Software team say the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season will have “above-normal activity” as they predict as many as 17 named storms. Of those, nine are forecast to develop into hurricanes, according to an initial forecast released on Thursday.
Four of the hurricanes are predicted to be major - meaning they will reach a Category 3, 4, or 5 on the Saffir-Simpson scale. The forecasters say there will be a total of 85 storm days as hurricane activity this year is expected to be roughly 125% higher than the 1991-2020 season average due to warm sea temperatures. Doomsday scientists predict date of first-ever Category 6 super-storm to smash USA Worst cyclone of the century leaves paradise island in ruins with stench of rotting flesh In comparison, the 2024 hurricane season was about 130% of the average season and saw significant hurricanes including Helene and Milton kill more than 250 people and cause more than $120 billion dollars in damage in the southeastern United States.
While this year’s hurricane season, which officially starts on June 1, isn’t forecast to be quite as strong as last year, experts are urging coastal residents to take proper precautions.“It takes only one storm near you to make this an active season for you,” warned Michael Bell, a Department of Atmospheric Science Professor at Colorado State University. The forecast includes a state-by-state look at the 2025 hurricane risk, indicating Florida faces the biggest chance of being impacted.
The Sunshine State has a 92% chance of being hit by storms and a 65% chance of being struck by hurricanes while there is also a 35% chance of a major hurricane tracking within 50 miles of the state. 2025 hurricane season risk by state Alabama - 67% storm chance, 34% hurricane chance and 10% chance of a major hurricane tracking within 50 miles Connecticut - 27% storm chance and 9% hurricane chance Delaware - 28% storm chance and 8% hurricane chance Florida - 92% storm chance, 62% hurricane chance, and 35% chance of a major hurricane tracking within 50 miles Georgia - 72% storm chance and 37% hurricane chance Louisiana - 74% storm chance, 46% hurricane chance, and 18% chance of a major hurricane tracking within 50 miles Maine - 26% storm chance and 9% hurricane chance Maryland - 37% storm chance and 13% hurricane chance Massachusetts - 40% storm chance and 18% hurricane chance Mississippi - 62% storm chance and 35% hurricane chance New Hampshire - 22% storm chance and 7% hurricane chance New Jersey - 28% storm chance and 9% hurricane chance New York - 32% storm chance and 12% hurricane chance North Carolina - 76% storm chance and 46% hurricane chance Rhode Island - 25% storm chance and 9% hurricane chance South Carolina - 66% storm chance and 35% hurricane chance Texas - 70% storm chance, 44% hurricane chance, and 19% chance of a major hurricane tracking within 50 miles Virginia - 54% storm chance and 24% hurricane chance.
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Hurricane season mapped: Risk by state as experts warn of above-average year

Forecasters say the 2025 hurricane season will have ‘above-normal activity', bringing 17 named storms and nine hurricanes as Florida is set to be hardest hit