2 days Ago By [email protected] (Dominick Howson)
The Championship relegation battle is too close to call. There are just five points separating the bottom five clubs, with Derby County the latest team to change their manager after a difficult season. John Eustace made the worst possible start to his Rams reign as County crashed to a heavy 4-0 defeat at Queens Park Rangers last Friday.
The result plunged Derby into the relegation zone at Hull City's expense . The Tigers, meanwhile, picked up a valuable point at home to play-off chasing Norwich City over the weekend. It means City are still searching for a first home league win in 2025 (D2 L3).
Next up for Ruben Selles' men is a trip to Sunderland on Saturday, kick-off 12:30pm. Betfred’s Robert Ford said: “In the last week, we’ve seen a lot of significant movement in the Championship relegation market, with Portsmouth being the biggest winners and Derby County being the biggest losers. “Portsmouth have seen their probability of being relegated decrease by 35.
7% with their two victories over fellow relegation contenders Cardiff City and Oxford United. Derby County have seen their probability of relegation grow by 20% after their 0-0 home draw with Oxford United and their 4-0 away thrashing to QPR on Friday evening in John Eustace’s first game as manager. “Others clubs that have seen their probabilities of relegation suffer in the last week include 24th-placed Luton Town, 21st-placed Hull City , 20th-placed Cardiff City and their fierce rivals Swansea City, whose odds have been cut from 16/1 to 6/1 after suffering back-to-back defeats to Sheffield Wednesday and Stoke City.
Luton, Hull and Cardiff have been cut to 4/6, 5/2 and 9/4, from 5/4, 3/1 and 5/2, respectively. “Despite losing away to Blackburn Rovers on Saturday, a 5-1 win over Millwall on Wednesday has seen Plymouth Argyle’s odds for relegation drift from 1/16 to 1/4, boosting their chances of survival by 14.1%.
Along with Portsmouth and Plymouth, Stoke City were the only other club near the bottom to see their odds for relegation drift in the last seven days. They’ve drifted from 5/1 from 7/2, whilst Oxford United’s odds have remained at 5/1, despite only picking up one point from their previous two games against Derby County and Portsmouth. They’re nine points above the relegation zone with 13 games still to play.
” Plymouth Argyle - 1/4 from 1/16 (80% probability from 94.1%) Derby County - 4/6 from 6/4 (60% probability from 40%) Luton Town - 4/6 from 5/4 (60% probability from 44.4%) Cardiff City - 9/4 from 5/2 (30.
8% probability from 28.6%) Hull City - 5/2 from from 3/1 (28.6% probability from 25%) Oxford United - 5/1 from 5/1 (16.
7% probability) Portsmouth - 5/1 from 10/11 (16.7% probability from 52.4%) Stoke City - 5/1 from 7/2 (16.
7% probability from 22.2%) Swansea City - 6/1 from 16/1 (14.3% probability from 5.
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