The Associated Press poll voters dropped No. 4 Miami to No. 12 this week, a very dangerous place to be in the new 12-team College Football Playoff.
The lower Miami falls, the higher the chances are the Canes could lose a first-round bye that is awarded to the four highest-ranked conference champions. If Boise State runs the table and finishes as a one-loss Mountain West Conference champion, the Broncos will also be eligible to earn a top-four seed. But the CFP instructs the 13 committee members to disregard all other polls.
"The conferences teams play in don't factor into our decision," selection committee chair Warde Manuel said, "as we don't look at the public polls." How far the committee drops Miami is one of the biggest questions heading into the announcement of its second of six rankings Tuesday night. Based on how the committee ranked its first top 25 of the season and understanding what the members value each week, here is a snapshot of what the rankings might look like -- through 11 weeks of data.
This is not a ranking. This is what the seeding and bracket would look like based on the committee's projected top 25 for this week -- plus a look at eight more teams that could play their way in, and how the Group of 5 race stacks up. Jump to a topic: Byes | First-round matchups Last two in | First four out Next four out | Group of 5 Continue reading this article and more from top writers, for only $11.
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How far does Miami fall? Projected brackets, bubble teams and a G5 stack ahead of Tuesday's ranking
Ahead of Tuesday night's second rankings release, Heather Dinich picks the CFP field of 12 and eight teams on the bubble, then ranks the best of the Group of 5.