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LIVE Election polls live updates: Trump leads in latest Pennsylvania forecast for first time as Harris tours Rust Belt swing states By Katelyn Caralle, Senior Political Reporter Published: 12:56, 21 October 2024 | Updated: 13:15, 21 October 2024 e-mail View comments Advertisement With 15 days until the election , Donald Trump and Kamala Harris are at a dead heat in the states that will decide who takes the White House. A Washington Post-Schar School survey finds the two candidates are tied at 47 percent support in the seven battlegrounds, with some voters still undecided on who they will back. Trump is ahead by three points in Arizona (49-46 percent) and he is level with Harris in Nevada (48 percent).
The Democrat is ahead by six points in Georgia and the slimmest of margins in Michigan , Nevada, North Carolina , Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. Trump has also taken the lead over Harris for the first time in Pennsylvania in FiveThirtyEight's aggregation of polls. As the campaign enters its last two weeks, Harris is touring the Rust Belt states while Trump is visiting North Carolina, still recovering from the devastation of Hurricane Helene.
Follow all the developments with our U.S. politics live blog.
11:49 Trump takes lead in Pennsylvania in FiveThirtyEight forecast for the first time Donald Trump has edged ahead of Kamala Harris in Pennsylvania for the first time in a major election forecaster. FiveThirtyEight's aggregation of polls puts Trump at 47.9 percent while Harris has 47.
5. The last time Trump led in the state that could ultimately decide the election was in July, just before President Joe Biden dropped out of the race. The former president spent most of his weekend in the Keystone State and both campaigns will be spending a lot of time there in the final days.
As of Monday morning, Trump was also ahead by a hair in Arizona, Georgia, and North Carolina. Harris had the advantage in Michigan, Wisconsin and Nevada. 12:10 The five biggest spending mega-donors who have already splurged $600 MILLION on the presidential election In a campaign that is shattering spending records, a handful of individuals are accounting for a massive splurge that is driving the ad spending voters are seeing on billboards and smartphones in battleground states.
Among them are billionaires who amassed fortunes in railroads, hedge funds, and shipping platforms. The five top mega-donors are all backing Republicans, with Donald Trump relying on their support to try to counter the edge Kamala Harris has garnered among individual contributors. Topping the list is Timothy Mellon, the grandson of leading financier and Pittsburgh native Andrew Mellon.
He alone accounts for $172 million in campaign contributions, with $125 million going to the pro-Trump MAGA, Inc. He also gave $25 million to American Values 2024, which backs Robert F. Kennedy, Jr.
, who ended his independent campaign and threw his support to Trump. The former president put him on his transition effort and said he will take on health responsibilities in a future Trump administration. Meet the five top mega-donors who spent $600m on the elections Mega-donors are pouring funds in to the 2024 elections, with railroad magnate Timothy Mellon, Sheldon Adelson's widow Miriam and other top donors plowing money into pro-Trump PACs.
Mail Online 12:09 Inside the only county that's predicted the last 11 presidents - and who they are voting for in the 2024 election Tucked away in the far northwest corner of country just before the cliffs drop off into the Pacific Ocean lies America's last true bellwether county. A decidedly purple place, the small, rural region of Clallam County in Washington boasts an unmatched record of voting for every presidential election winner since Ronald Reagan in 1980. This is the longest success streak of any of America's 3,143 counties.
Now all eyes are on this unassuming county once again to see which way the wind is blowing for 2024, as vice president Kamala Harris faces off against former president Donald Trump in a divisive, neck and neck race. When traveling across Clallam County, the tight nature of the 2024 election is on full display. Visitors heading west into town on Highway 101 are met with a series of Harris-Walz yard signs, shortly before a massive Trump-Vance banner shows up in the same stretch of field.
But while politics at a national scale have become toxic, in this small community where Democrats and Republicans have lived side by side for decades, residents have succeeded in keeping a calm head - or avoiding talking politics altogether. America's election bellwether: How a county predicted last 11 winners Tucked away in the far northwest corner of country just before the cliffs drop off into the Pacific Ocean lies America's last true bellwether county. Mail Online 12:04 Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin visits Ukraine with just two weeks until the election Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin visited Ukraine on Monday to insist the U.
S. will continue its support with just two weeks until the election. The Pentagon chief announced a new $400million package of military aid to help shore up support.
But Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky still wants weapons that can strike deep into Russia. Austin’s trip to Kyiv is likely his last under the Biden administration, and will include talks about how Ukraine can keep up its ground offensive. ‘We’re going to continue to support Ukraine in its efforts to defend its sovereign territory,’ Austin told reporters.
‘We’ve watched this fight evolve over time. And each time that it does evolve, we have risen to the occasion to meet (Ukraine’s) needs to make sure that they were effective on the battlefield,’ he added. 12:00 Poll of 5,000 voters finds Trump and Harris tied in swing states A large poll of 5,000 registered voters in the seven swing states that will decide the election shows Donald Trump and Kamala Harris in a tie.
The Washington Post-Schar School poll find both candidates on 47 percent. The poll was taken in Arizona, Georgia, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Michigan, Nevada and North Carolina. Harris fared in best in Georgia and Trump in Arizona.
11:11 Kamala Harris takes huge lead on Donald Trump in key voting group New polling shows Kamala Harris leads Donald Trump with women over the age of 50 by more than any presidential candidate since 2016. The survey shows that 54 percent of women in that demographic plan to vote for the vice president, over just 42 percent for Trump. It's a huge improvement from Joe Biden, who only led Trump by three points with women over 50 in January.
The numbers are also better than Hillary Clinton's numbers in 2016, who polled 48p percent -40 percent over Trump. Kamala Harris takes huge lead on Donald Trump in key voting group New polling shows Kamala Harris leads Donald Trump with a key demographic more than Hillary Clinton or Joe Biden in prior elections. Mail Online AARP, who conducted the survey, believes that women over 50 can potentially sway the election.
11:10 CBS hits back at Trump claim the network 'deceitfully edited' Kamala Harris' 60 Minutes interview CBS denied allegations it 'deceitfully edited' a longwinded answer Kamala Harris gave during a 60 Minutes interview - but admitted airing a 'more succinct' portion of her response. The controversy began when the vice president sat for an interview that aired last Monday on the flagship program and was asked about the Israeli invasion of Gaza. Her verbose answer, riddled with long pauses and hesitant wording, was played during a 60 Minutes preview that aired on CBS Face the Nation last Sunday.
However, when the whole interview was broadcast on 60 Minutes the next evening, Harris appeared to give a more succinct answer. CBS hits back at claim it 'deceitfully edited' Kamala on 60 Minutes Kamala Harris sat for an interview on the flagship program that aired last Monday and was asked about the Israeli invasion of Gaza, giving a longwinded answer in response. Mail Online 11:09 Has this make-up free Ivanka Trump photo revealed a major twist in the 2024 election? An innocuous photo of a make-up free Ivanka Trump may have provided a major hint that her father has repaired relations with Nikki Haley as the election winds down.
Haley, the former ambassador to the UN, gave her endorsement to Former President Trump in May but has been absent on the campaign trail - while admitting their personal relationship remains frosty. However, multiple outlets recently reported that the Trump camp is wooing Haley to help shore up the former president's standing with women. On Saturday, a thaw between Haley and Trump appeared to take shape when the former South Carolina governor liked an Instagram photo posted by Ivanka.
The former presidential advisor and First Daughter posted a makeup-free photo with her family celebrating the Jewish holiday Sukkot. Has this Ivanka Trump photo revealed major twist in the 2024 election? A seemingly innocuous photo posted by Ivanka Trump may hint at a repairing of relations between her father and Nikki Haley as the election winds down. Mail Online TOP STORIES Incredible moment quick-thinking jockey risks his safety to help his horse after it collapses mid-race Urgent hunt launched after a woman was 'raped at a children's playground' as police search for 'teenage attacker who approached victim with three other men' Fury as radical Australian Indigenous senator Lidia Thorpe posts beheaded King Charles cartoon hours after hijacking and embarrassing King by accusing him of 'genocide' at royal welcome event The city at mercy of European-style traffic scheme hell: Cambridge has 14 Copenhagen crossings, two Cyclops junctions AND a roundabout with 31 traffic lights.
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