UK economic growth slowed between July and September relative to the previous quarter, according to official data, in a blow to Chancellor Rachel Reeves. The economy grew by 0.1% over the period, versus 0.
5% growth between April and June, the Office for National Statistics (ONS) said. The estimate was behind economist predictions of 0.2% and comes after Labour unveiled a rise in Government spending and business taxes in the Autumn Budget last month.
GDP grew 0.1% in Quarter 3 (July to Sept) 2024. Services grew 0.
1%, construction grew 0.8% while production fell by 0.2%.
Read more ➡️ — Office for National Statistics (ONS) (@ONS) The economy is estimated to have contracted by 0.1% in September 2024, after growth in the months before that, largely because of declines in factory output and IT services. Ms Reeves said: “Improving economic growth is at the heart of everything I am seeking to achieve, which is why I am not satisfied with these numbers.
“At my Budget, I took the difficult choices to fix the foundations and stabilise our public finances. “Now we are going to deliver growth through investment and reform to create more jobs and more money in people’s pockets, get the NHS back on its feet, rebuild Britain and secure our borders in a decade of national renewal.” Commenting on today’s GDP figures for Quarter 3 (July to Sept) 2024, ONS Director of Economic Statistics Liz McKeown said 💬 — Office for National Statistics (ONS) (@ONS) The services sector, which makes up the bulk of the economy, showed no growth in September, and grew by just 0.
1% during the period. Factory output fell 0.2% over the three-month stint driven by a larger decline in the month of September, while the construction sector grew 0.
8% over the quarter. Liz McKeown, ONS director of economic statistics, said: “The economy grew a little in the latest quarter overall as the recent slowdown in growth continued. “Retail and new construction work both performed well, partially offset by falls in telecommunications and wholesale.
Generally, growth was subdued across most industries in the latest quarter. “In September the economy shrank a little. Services showed no growth with a notable increase in car sales offset by a slow month for IT companies.
“Production fell overall, driven by manufacturing, though there was an increase in oil and gas extraction.” Ben Jones, lead economist at the Confederation of British Industry, said uncertainty in the run-up to the autumn Budget “probably played a big part”, after firms reported a slowdown in making spending decisions. “Hopefully this will prove to be a blip.
We still expect the economy to return to a path of modest growth in the year ahead. But downside risks to the outlook have increased.” Suren Thiru, economics director at the Institute of Chartered Accountants in England and Wales, added that the figures suggest the economy “went off the boil even before the Budget”, citing weakness in business in consumer confidence.
He said: “Following a ‘gangbusters’ first half of the year, the third quarter outturn paints a more realistic picture of the UK’s underlying growth trajectory given longstanding challenges over poor productivity and persistent supply side constraints. “Economic growth in the final quarter of this year is likely to be similarly modest with looming tax rises and growing global uncertainty likely to spark a renewed restraint to spend and invest, despite lower interest rates.”.
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Economic growth slows to 0.1% between July and September
The quarterly estimate was behind economists’ predictions and comes as a blow to Chancellor Rachel Reeves.