Delhi assembly elections: What are exit polls and how accurate are they?

NEW DELHI: As voting takes place in 70 assembly constituencies in Delhi, all eyes will be on the exit polls , which will be released once polling ends at 6 pm. The key contest is between the Aam Aadmi Party (AAP), the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), and the Congress. The party securing a majority will form the next government, while the Election Commission will announce the official results on Saturday, February 8.

What are Exit Polls? Exit polls are surveys conducted immediately after voters leave polling stations. Pollsters ask a sample of voters whom they voted for, and their responses help forecast election outcomes. Unlike opinion polls, which gauge voter preference before polling, exit polls attempt to capture actual voting behavior in real time.



Also Read: Exit Polls Result 2025 Live How are Exit Polls conducted? Polling agencies use random sampling methods across constituencies, ensuring demographic and regional representation. However, since voters are not legally bound to reveal their choice, the accuracy of these polls can vary. How accurate are Exit Polls? The reliability of exit polls depends on several factors, including the honesty of voters, sample size, and margin of error.

While they often provide an indication of election trends, they have also been inaccurate in the past due to: Sampling errors – If the sample size is too small or unrepresentative, the results may be skewed. Shy voter effect – Some voters may not disclose their real preference, affecting the accuracy. Last-minute swings – Voter sentiment can change on polling day, which exit polls may fail to capture.

Methodology differences – Different agencies use varied polling methods, leading to differing projections. Are Exit Polls legally binding? No. Exit polls are estimates and have no official status.

In India, the Election Commission bans their publication until the final phase of voting ends to prevent influencing voters. When will the official results be declared for Delhi polls? The Election Commission of India will announce the final and legally binding results on February 8. While exit polls may hint at the possible outcome, they should be viewed with caution until the official results are declared.

Check out the latest news about Delhi Elections 2025 , including key constituencies such as Kalkaji , Karol Bagh , Tilak Nagar , New Delhi , Laxmi Nagar , Badarpur , Ghonda , Krishna Nagar , Model Town , Rithala , Trilokpuri , Najafgarh , and Matia Mahal ..