China rally raises concerns of outflows in India’s stock market

A surge in Chinese equities raises concerns that global managers might pull profits from Indian shares, though Kotak Securities deems significant sell-offs unlikely. Healthcare stocks could rise due to insurance coverage and an aging population, while technology stocks might face challenges. Investors are opting for quality stocks amid worries about high valuations.

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Foreigners have bought about $11 billion of Indian shares in September. The surge in Chinese equities has sparked concerns that global money managers may take profits from Indian shares to make room for China in their portfolios. Foreigners have bought about $11 billion of local shares in the September quarter, but according to Kotak Securities , it’s unlikely they’ll sell off a “meaningful portion” of these holdings.

On the other hand, DBS Bank predicts that local equities may underperform their Chinese counterparts in the near future. The rally in hospital stocks may sustain as widening insurance coverage and an aging population drive healthcare service providers to expand. According to Satish Ramanathan, CIO of JM Mutual Fund, another potential boost could come from state governments trying to align with the central government’s healthcare initiatives.



“People will spend on healthcare at an unprecedented rate,” said Ramanathan. After delivering their best quarterly performance in three years, technology stocks might face challenges in October, warns Motilal Oswal Securities. The brokerage believes IT companies’ revenue recovery for the September quarter may fall short of investors’ “elevated expectations”.

It predicts revenue growth for top companies like Infosys and TCS to range from flat to 3% sequentially, which makes the sector’s 29 times 1-year forward earnings multiple appear expensive. Analysts actions: Adani Energy Rated New Buy at ICICI Securities; PT 1,318 rupees PB Fintech Cut to Sell at JM Financial; PT 1,420 rupees Tech Mahindra Raised to Outperform at CLSA; PT 1,749 rupees And, finally..

Indian equities are hitting new highs, but some investors, worried about stretched valuations, are shifting toward quality stocks. Reflecting this trend, the Nifty200 Quality 30 gauge climbed almost 13% last quarter, beating an 8% gain in the main NSE Nifty 50 gauge and a 6% rise in the momentum stock index. Sensing the change in mood, at least one fund house has launched a quality-focused fund.

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