Booming red states, stagnant blue states, and what it means for future US elections.

In the US, red states enjoy more economic freedom, more personal income growth, lower taxes, and more GDP growth. As a result, within the US people tend to move from blue states to red states. In addition to this, red states also have higher birth rates.

Richard Hanania has a good piece on this: Forty Years of Economic Freedom Winning Leftist policies have been failing for a very long time. We should take that seriously. www.



richardhanania.com As a consequence of this, population in blue states is stagnant, while population is booming in red states: People are leaving the blue states, be it cold New York or sunny California, to move to Texas, Florida, the South in general, as well as the midwest. One consequence of this is that the electoral math is changing.

Blue states are losing population and thus electoral votes, while red states are gaining: Every state that will gain electoral votes in 2030 voted Republican in the most recent election. Every state that will lose electoral votes except Pennsylvania voted Democrat in the most recent election. This means that the famous "Blue Wall" is no longer enough for the Democrats to win elections.

Currently the blue wall is the Democrats likeliest path to the presidency, generally speaking. Of all the swing states they are the most D leaning, and if the Democrats win them all, they win the election, by just 2 electoral votes. After 2030, that will change.

The red leaning states will gain 13 seats from the blue leaning states. Meaning that if the map above were to take place - Republicans sweeping the south, Democrats taking the rust belt, Republicans would have 281 electoral votes, and Democrats would have 257. The map above changes from being a tight Democrat win to a comfortable Republican win.

The Republicans will even be able to afford to lose Nevada and the entire Rust Belt, and still win the election. The democrats have one more election - 2028, where they can continue to fight on current electoral math. After that, things will get harder for them thanks to booming, economically vibrant red states siphoning people from stagnant blue states.

All Republicans should move to Florida..