1 week Ago By Staff writers
The Australian sharemarket is set to lose more than $100 billion at the open on Monday after Wall Street’s worst crisis since COVID reached new levels after China matched US President Donald Trump’s big raise in tariffs announced earlier in the week. ASX futures are pointing to a plunge of 4.3 per cent on Monday, setting the stage for a horrific day on local markets.
The local market has shed 3.4 per cent over the past two sessions as Trump’s trade war rattles markets and economies across the globe. Repercussions from US President Donald Trump’s sweeping tariff announcements spread across global markets.
Credit: Bloomberg The S&P 500 lost 6 per cent on Friday in New York after China’s announcement. The move increased the stakes in a trade war that could end with a recession that hurts everyone. Not even a better-than-expected report on the US job market, which is usually the economic highlight of each month, was enough to stop the slide.
The drop closed the worst week for the S&P 500 since March 2020, when the pandemic ripped through the global economy. The Dow Jones plunged 2231 points, or 5.5 per ent and the Nasdaq composite tumbled 5.
8 per cent to pull more than 20 per cent below its record set in December. The Australian dollar crumbled. It was fetching 60.
45 US cents at 5.17am AEST. So far, there have been few, if any, winners in financial markets from the trade war.
Stocks for all but 14 of the 500 companies within the S&P 500 index fell on Friday. The price of crude oil tumbled to its lowest level since 2021. Other basic building blocks for economic growth, such as copper, also saw prices slide on worries the trade war will weaken the global economy.
China’s response to US tariffs caused an immediate acceleration of losses in markets worldwide. The Commerce Ministry in Beijing said it would respond to the 34 per cent tariffs imposed by the US on imports from China with its own 34 per cent tariff on imports of all US products beginning on April 10. The United States and China are the world’s two largest economies.
Markets briefly recovered some of their losses after the release of Friday morning’s US jobs report, which said employers accelerated their hiring by more last month than economists expected. It’s the latest signal that the US job market has remained relatively solid through the start of 2025, and it’s been a linchpin keeping the US economy out of a recession. But that jobs data was backward looking, and the fear hitting financial markets is about what’s to come.
“The world has changed, and the economic conditions have changed,” said Rick Rieder, chief investment officer of global fixed income at BlackRock. The central question looking ahead is: will the trade war cause a global recession? If it does, stock prices may need to come down even more than they have already. The S&P 500 is down 17.
4 per cent from its record set in February. Trump seemed unfazed. From Mar-a-Lago, his private club in Florida, he headed to his golf course a few miles away after writing on social media that “THIS IS A GREAT TIME TO GET RICH”.
The Federal Reserve could cushion the blow of tariffs on the economy by cutting interest rates, which can encourage companies and households to borrow and spend. But the Fed may have less freedom to move than it would like. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell has warned on inflation expectations.
Credit: AP Fed chair Jerome Powell said on Friday that tariffs could drive up expectations for inflation. That could prove more damaging than high inflation itself, because it can drive a vicious cycle of behaviour that only worsens inflation. US households have already said they’re bracing for sharp increases to their bills.
“Our obligation is to keep longer-term inflation expectations well anchored and to make certain that a one-time increase in the price level does not become an ongoing inflation problem,” Powell said. That could indicate a hesitance to cut rates because lower rates can give inflation more fuel. Much will depend on how long Trump’s tariffs stick and what kind of retaliations other countries deliver.
Some of Wall Street is holding onto hope that Trump will lower the tariffs after prying “wins” from other countries following negotiations. Trump has given mixed signals on that. On Friday, he said Vietnam “wants to cut their Tariffs down to ZERO if they are able to make an agreement with the U.
S.” Trump also criticised China’s retaliation, saying on his Truth Social platform that “CHINA PLAYED IT WRONG, THEY PANICKED - THE ONE THING THEY CANNOT AFFORD TO DO!” Trump has said Americans may feel “some pain” because of tariffs, but he has also said the long-term goals, including getting more manufacturing jobs back to the United States, are worth it. On Thursday, he likened the situation to a medical operation, where the US economy is the patient.
“For investors looking at their portfolios, it could have felt like an operation performed without anaesthesia,” said Brian Jacobsen, chief economist at Annex Wealth Management. But Jacobsen also said the next surprise for investors could be how quickly tariffs get negotiated down. “The speed of recovery will depend on how, and how quickly, officials negotiate,” he said.
On Wall Street, stocks of companies that do lots of business in China fell to some of the sharpest losses. DuPont dropped 12.7 per cent after China said its regulators are launching an antitrust investigation into DuPont China group, a subsidiary of the chemical giant.
It’s one of several measures targeting American companies and in retaliation for the US tariffs. GE Healthcare got 12 per cent of its revenue last year from the China region, and it fell 16 per cent. All told, the S&P 500 fell 322.
44 points to 5074.08. The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 2231.
07 to 38,314.86, and the Nasdaq composite fell 962.82 to 15,587.
79. In stock markets abroad, Germany’s DAX lost 5 per cent, France’s CAC 40 dropped 4.3 per cent and Japan’s Nikkei 225 fell 2.
8 per cent. In the bond market, Treasury yields fell, but they pared their drops following Powell’s cautious statements about inflation. The yield on the 10-year Treasury fell to 4.
01% per cent from 4.06 per cent late Thursday and from roughly 4.8 per cent early this year.
It had gone below 3.9 per cent in the morning. with AP The Market Recap newsletter is a wrap of the day’s trading.
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